Dollar Index
for a moment I thought the strength of the recent decline
was substantial enough to signal a change in trend. That means most of the progress gained at S1 11,881
would be wiped out by the sellers pounding the index. Because the market can change on a dime I had
to be willing and able to call a change in direction but in recent days there
was a consolidation (Shaded yellow oval) that would mean the rally could base
and rally again. This rally then base
than rally, is more of a pattern that we are looking for in a bullish sequence. So the dollar index printed four distinct
higher lows which are highlighted with the green arrows. The bullish engulfing candle was for August
22, 2017. That also begs the question if
the index can make it to 12,038 or the R1 and R2 locations above which would
confirm the extra strength for the dollar being that it has had some trouble
climbing to 12,000. There is more news
about monetary policy coming out so that can be a driving factor. As always I prefer to have two supportive
zones and two resistance zones on a chart to
clarify and make a strategy more tangible no matter what happens. The
moving average above also suggests that price can drift toward that price also
Goal Revisited
I did not trade this way but only partially. A lot of times trading you will find that
sometimes your targets not only are met but they are exceeded. This excess text box at 111 is where I felt
price can begin you to tighten and head down.
I was not heavily involved in this pair but this is a 30 minute chart
and the area labeled boost was where I previously wrote about it preparing for
a rally so now that it is down in this 109 territory it can still bounce a
little bit but as strong yen would bring it lower like 108.507 and 108.19
judging by the strength of these recent to candles it would seem like 109.50 is
likely because it is coming off and origin of a powerful rally
The EUR/USD has been waiting on direction from monetary
policy authorities like the Federal Reserve and ECB and for that reason I
believe it is chopping around even though the daily chart does not show a tight
range it still has been acting ambivalent but it has been hitting temporary
highs that are shaded in red the strongest demand we have seen is in the green
rectangle and some of the buying points at S2
Loonie acting Looney
Is this just an interim correction? when I first pointed out
how powerful of the resist 1.27687 was I did not think I was in for such a
surprise because the height from that price to now came out to a 252 pip drop. So the strategy now is to find support points
and test their relevance. There is a lot
of consolidation going on and the height of the blue candles are clustering and
it can signal some potential upside. A
possible observation is that lower highs are forming and could lead to plenty
of overhead resistance but the two blue horizontal lines shown at 1.25277 and
1.25405 only show that price is reacting to this buyer support with some
sensitivity. If support zones do not get
respected it would continue the trend of lower lows and lower highs
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